Monday, April 15, 2002

Week 3 Observations

Late Friday night, somewhere in the fog when Montezuma replaced Jose Cuervo, I realized that the same rules that apply to dating apply to successful fantasy teams. (I also realized I desperately want to quit law and sell body glitter to young women under 30, but that's a differnt topic).

1. Go Younger Do rock or movie stars upgrade to an older model? No, and neither should you. Young hurlers like Ainsworth, Jansen, Lawrence, Duckworth, Rusch, Williams, and Padilla are providing wonderful returns for limited investments.

2. Dinner and Movie won't get you anywhere The first lesson of Dating 101, learned while watching your "date" suck face with some freeloader at the after-movie party. (Damn, I hate it when I admit things I didn't have to). Moral: it's the cheap girls who get you where you want. For every Sosa and Johnson, there's a Griffey and Brown waiting to waste your money and break your heart. You win the league in the under $10 bargin bin. The best place to look (just like in a bar) is the slightly used pile. Go for guys like Michael Barrett and Alex Ochoa who used to be a hot little numbers until they fell out of favor. Phil Nevin is a perfect example of one time would be superstars who bloom late. This year Travis Lee fits that category ( and thanks to the magic of Blogger's "edit" feature, if Travis Lee doesn't pan out, I'll change the name in October and take the credit).

3. Avoid Closing Time Desperation . It's 1:30 and every available woman's being hunted with the intensity of the Osama Bin Laden search. So you jump at the next body with a pulse that shows interest. Six hours later you wake in horror. Moral: It's often best to do nothing. Don't panic when an established hitter like Kendall goes 0 for April. I'm a firm believer that any trade you make in May you'll live to regret later (remember Bichette for Reynolds and Klesko in '95? Glavine for, well nothing, in '96 and of course, the all time favorite: Molitor for Lofton in '94.) Personal Digression: I was heartbroken when Larry Walker broke roto records in '97. Having to taunt you by saying you traded the player with the "second best roto season ever" just doesn't have the same zing.

4. Britney Spears . Okay, she's got nothing to do with Roto, but I figured listing her name might drive some (any?) traffic to our site

5. In the end, personality wins out . You know the story. You date young women, date wild women, date women with no substance. In the end, who do you come back to? The long term friend whose always been there! Roto baseball's the same way. Different teams will lead throughout the season, but in the end, it's the same group of owners who almost always end up on the top. Why? The reasons are as varied as the number of leagues in which they participate, but the guiding principle is this. If you're not one of them, figure out what they do and follow the blueprint. Learn from your mistakes. Don't keep repeating them.


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